Trends
Bitcoin and crypto infrastructure
Digital assets and open infrastructure propose a new layer for settlement and custody.
Phase: AdoptionEvidence: GrowingEditorial review:
What is changing
Bitcoin, stablecoins, custody and public networks keep the debate around digital money and open financial infrastructure alive.
Evidence
BIS examines tokenization, settlement and stablecoins alongside their monetary and operational constraints.
BIS · Annual Economic Report 2025, Chapter III →Limits of the evidence: Infrastructure adoption does not guarantee demand for a particular token or safe custody.
Value chain
Protocols, custody, exchanges, mining, payments, stablecoins, security, wallets and compliance.
Who could capture value
Value may sit not in the protocol that draws attention, but in infrastructure, custody or regulated services.
Disclosed capital
13F · Q2 2026 · positions as of 30 June · delayed data
No company links have been verified for this trend within the observed universe. This does not imply a lack of exposure.
Explore disclosed capital →Vehicles to observe
Educational examples, not recommendations. Review holdings, costs, concentration and availability before studying a vehicle.
IBIT · iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
Dedicated ETF
Listed vehicle for observing Bitcoin ETF flows with limited history.
BTC/USDT · Bitcoin spot
Observation
Observable series for studying BTC spot as context.
View levels →ETH/USDT · Ethereum spot
Observation
Prepared series for studying ETH spot without replacing it with ETFs.
View levels →
Argument in favor
Institutional adoption and regulated infrastructure could broaden usage and legitimacy.
Argument against
Volatility, regulation and the lack of traditional cash flows make valuation difficult.
What would invalidate the hypothesis
It fails if adoption remains narrative-led, regulation limits use cases or operational risk dominates.
Risks
- Regulation
- Excessive expectations
- Timelines and cycle
- Liquidity
- Concentration