Trends
Artificial intelligence
Models, data and infrastructure are changing how software, content and analysis are produced.
Phase: MonetizationEvidence: StrongEditorial review:
What is changing
AI is moving cognitive tasks into systems that write, summarize, code, classify and assist decisions.
Evidence
The AI Index documents expanding adoption, investment and infrastructure. Monetization needs verification at product and company level.
Stanford HAI · AI Index 2026 →Limits of the evidence: Reported usage and benchmark results do not establish productivity or sustainable profits.
Value chain
Chips, data centers, power, models, data, application software, integrators and enterprise users.
Who could capture value
Value may accrue to infrastructure, dominant platforms, vertical software or companies that lift margins through automation.
Disclosed capital
13F · Q2 2026 · positions as of 30 June · delayed data
Editorial connection based on economic activity. A disclosed holding does not establish the manager's thesis.
Observable companies
- Alphabet · GOOGL28 / 43 disclosed managers · SEC →
- TSMC · TSM25 / 43 disclosed managers · SEC →
- Amazon · AMZN24 / 43 disclosed managers · SEC →
- Meta Platforms · META24 / 43 disclosed managers · SEC →
- Microsoft · MSFT24 / 43 disclosed managers · SEC →
- Alphabet · GOOG20 / 43 disclosed managers · SEC →
Vehicles to observe
Educational examples, not recommendations. Review holdings, costs, concentration and availability before studying a vehicle.
AIQ · Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF
Thematic ETF
Thematic ETF for observing companies tied to artificial intelligence, big data and technology infrastructure.
View levels →BOTZ · Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF
Thematic ETF
Thematic ETF for contrasting robotics, automation and applied AI exposure.
View levels →XLK · Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund
Sector ETF
Sector context for comparing the hypothesis against broad technology.
View levels →QQQ · Invesco QQQ Trust
Broad index
Broad growth reference for studying concentration and valuation.
View levels →
Argument in favor
Productivity could expand if companies turn AI into savings, new products or better processes.
Argument against
Some value may already be priced in and concentrated among a small group of providers.
What would invalidate the hypothesis
The hypothesis fails if real usage does not improve margins, regulation raises deployment costs, or competition commoditizes the technology.
Risks
- Valuation
- Excessive expectations
- Competition
- Concentration
- Timelines and cycle